The Impact of Digital Economy on the Development of Green Logistics under the Goal of Dual Carbon: -- An Empirical Study based on PVAR Modeling

Zifu Fan; Zhiqiang Zhou; Xuehua Wang; Zhiqiao Sun

doi:10.54097/2mkgxq84

Authors

Zifu Fan
Zhiqiang Zhou
Xuehua Wang
Zhiqiao Sun

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/2mkgxq84

Keywords:

Digital Economy; Industrial Structure Upgrading; Green Logistics; PVAR.

Abstract

Digital economy and industrial structure upgrading are the keys to realizing low-carbon economic development. Based on the data of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2020, this study constructs a PVAR model. It analyzes the dynamic relationship between the digital economy, industrial structure upgrading, and green logistics development through impulse response and variance decomposition. It conducts a comparative study of the eastern, central, and western regions. The study shows that from 2013 to 2020, China's green logistics will rise steadily, characterized by "high in the east and low in the central and western regions.". From a national point of view, industrial structure upgrading, digital economy, and green logistics have strong coordination, and they influence each other. From the perspective of the three regions, the digital economy and industrial structure upgrading in the eastern and central regions have achieved better-coordinated development, and both have a good role in promoting the development of green logistics. The upgrading of industrial structure and the digital economy in the Western region have failed to achieve better-coordinated development, and both have no obvious impact on the development of green logistics in the Western region. Therefore, it is proposed to accelerate the development of the digital economy, reasonably promote the upgrading of industrial structure, and promote the countermeasures for the green development of the logistics industry.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Yang J, Tang L, Mi Z, et al. Carbon emissions performance in logistics at the city level[J]. Journal of cleaner production, 2019, 231: 1258-1266.

[2] Zhang W, Zhang M, Zhang W, et al. What influences the effectiveness of green logistics policies? A grounded theory analysis[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2020, 714: 136731.

[3] Zhang J, Lyu Y, Li Y, et al. Digital economy: An innovation driving factor for low-carbon development[J]. Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 2022, 96: 106821

[4] Guo Y, Mao H, Ding H, et al. Data-driven coordinated development of the digital economy and logistics industry[J]. Sustainability, 2022, 14(14): 8963.

[5] Popkova E G, Sergi B S. A digital economy to develop policy related to transport and logistics. Predictive lessons from Russia[J]. Land Use Policy, 2020, 99: 105083.

[6] Luo R, Wang Q. Does digitalization promote the green and high-quality development of logistics industry in the Yellow River Basin of China?[J]. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 2023, 32(3).

[7] Liu J, Li S, Zhou Y. Research on the dynamic relationship between industrial structure adjustment and the development level of modern logistics industry[J]. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 2018, 47(6): 1742-1753.

[8] Yan B, Yao B, Zhang C. Industrial structure, high-quality development of logistics industry and the economy[J]. Plos one, 2023, 18(5): e0285229.

[9] Tan L, Yang Z, Irfan M, et al. Toward low‐carbon sustainable development: Exploring the impact of digital economy development and industrial restructuring[J]. Business Strategy and the Environment, 2024, 33(3): 2159-2172.

[10] Liu Y, Yang Y, Li H, et al. Digital economy development, industrial structure upgrading and green total factor productivity: Empirical evidence from China’s cities[J]. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 19(4): 2414.

[11] Liu W. The digital economy and environmental pollution: new evidence based on the support of logistics development[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2023, 427: 139210.

[12] Liu R, Jiang J, Long Y. How does the digital economy affect green innovation efficiency: evidence from China[J]. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 2023: 1-27.

[13] Bai T, Qi Y, Li Z, et al. Digital economy, industrial transformation and upgrading, and spatial transfer of carbon emissions: The paths for low-carbon transformation of Chinese cities[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2023, 344: 118528.

[14] Tian X, Zhang M. Research on spatial correlations and influencing factors of logistics industry development level [J]. Sustainability, 2019, 11(5): 1356.

[15] Lan S, Tseng M L. Coordinated development of metropolitan logistics and economy toward sustainability[J]. Computational Economics, 2018, 52: 1113-1138.

[16] Gan W, Yao W, Huang S. Evaluation of green logistics efficiency in Jiangxi Province based on Three-Stage DEA from the perspective of high-quality development[J]. Sustainability, 2022, 14(2): 797.

[17] Sang J, Liu Z, Wang H, et al. A new assessment method for water environment safety and its application[J]. Science of The Total Environment, 2024, 917: 170056.

[18] Brana S, Djigbenou M L, Prat S. Global excess liquidity and asset prices in emerging countries: A PVAR approach[J]. Emerging Markets Review, 2012, 13(3): 256-267.