Assessment of Forest Carbon Sink Function under the Influence of Compound Dry and Heat Events

Authors

  • Jintian Liu College of Forestry and Grassland, College of Soil and Water Conservation, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210037, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/dv9a5w29

Keywords:

Compound dry and heat events, Forest carbon sink, CASA model, Enshi City.

Abstract

With global warming, compound dry and heat events have attracted extensive attention due to their synergistic effects on ecosystems. The forest ecosystem is one of the largest carbon pools in terrestrial ecosystems, which means its carbon sink function is of great significance to maintain the global carbon cycle balance. Taking the unchanged forest in Enshi City of Hubei Province from 2000 to 2022 as the research object, it comprehensively used multi-source remote sensing data and identified compound dry and heat events by calculating SPI and STI, which means the standardized precipitation index and standardized temperature index. Next, the paper chose the improved Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach model (which is also called the CASA model) to estimate forest net primary productivity (NPP) to analyze the driving mechanism and lag response characteristics of compound dry and heat events on forest carbon sink changes with the help of the geographical detector (GD). The results showed that three compound dry and heat events in Enshi occurred in July 2011, October 2013, and August 2022, and the response time of forest carbon sequestration was about one month. The drought factor has a stronger effect on forest carbon sink change than the high temperature factor, and the interaction between them shows a significant nonlinear enhancement effect. The results will help to deeply understand how climate change makes impacts on mountain forest ecosystems, and provide a scientific basis for regional forest resource management.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Li Y, Liu Z Y, Liang J H. Hot spot analysis and prospect of compound dry and heat events. Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power (Natural Science Edition), 2025, (2).

[2] Liu M, Ma J Y, Sun W, et al. Characteristics of combined dry heat and combined wet heat events in China from 1982 to 2022. Geosciences, 2026, 46(1): 128-139.

[3] Zscheischler J, Westra S, van den Hurk B J J M, et al. Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change, 2018, 8(6): 469-477. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3

[4] Mazdiyasni O, AghaKouchak A. Substantial increase in concurrent droughts and heatwaves in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2015, 112(37): 11484-11489. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1422945112

[5] Ren J X, Wang W G, Wei J, et al. Spatial and temporal variation of summer compound dry-hot events in China and their relationship with climate modes. China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2024, (9): 173-180.

[6] Zhang M, Chen S D, Lin H, et al. Estimation of net primary productivity of Dongting Lake Wetland. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2023, 27(6): 1454-1466.

[7] Wu C, Chen K, Chongyi E, et al. Improved CASA model based on satellite remote sensing data: simulating net primary productivity of Qinghai Lake basin alpine grassland. Geoscientific Model Development, 2022, 15(17): 6919-6933. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6919-2022

[8] Peng S L, Guo Z H, Wang B S. Estimation of light use efficiency of vegetation in Guangdong using GIS and RS. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2000, 20(6): 903-909.

[9] Google. Google Earth Engine Code Editor. 2025. https://earthengine.google.com

[10] Yang J, Huang X. The 30 m annual land cover dataset and its dynamics in China from 1990 to 2019. Earth System Science Data, 2021, 13(8): 3907-3925. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-3907-2021

[11] Peng S. 1-km monthly mean temperature dataset for China (1901-2024). National Tibetan Plateau / Third Pole Environment Data Center, 2019.

[12] Peng S. 1-km monthly precipitation dataset for China (1901-2024). National Tibetan Plateau / Third Pole Environment Data Center, 2020.

[13] Cao R, Xu Z, Chen Y, et al. Reconstructing high-spatiotemporal-resolution (30 m and 8-Days) NDVI time-series data for the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau from 2000–2020. Remote Sensing, 2022, 14: 3648. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14153648

[14] Gu C, Wang T, Shen W, et al. Net forest carbon loss induced by forest cover change and compound drought and heat events in two regions of China. Forests, 2024, 15(11): 2048. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f15112048

[15] Zhu W Q, Pan Y Z, He H, et al. Simulation of maximum light use efficiency of typical vegetation in China. Science Bulletin, 2006, 51(6): 700-706. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-006-0457-1

[16] Zhu W Q. Remote sensing estimation of net primary productivity of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its relationship with climate change. Beijing Normal University, 2005.

[17] Zheng Z, Zhu W, Zhang Y. Seasonally and spatially varied controls of climatic factors on net primary productivity in alpine grasslands on the Tibetan Plateau. Global Ecology and Conservation, 2020, 21: e00814. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00814

[18] Wang J, Xu C. Geodetector: Principle and prospective. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(1): 116-134.

[19] Niu J, Wang Z, Nugraha A S A, et al. Spatial temporal variation characteristics and driving factors of net primary productivity in the Huaihe River Economic Belt on seasonal scale. Scientific Reports, 2025, 15(1): 44868. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-28371-1

[20] Angel H, Willie K, Nihit G, et al. Next-generation digital ecosystem for climate data mining and knowledge discovery: A review of digital data collection technologies. Frontiers in Big Data, 2020, 3: 29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fdata.2020.00029

Downloads

Published

03-11-2026

Issue

Section

Articles