Technology Diffusion System Model of China's Communication Industry

Linhui Hou; Zhihui Jia

doi:10.54097/ajst.v6i1.8444

Authors

Linhui Hou
Zhihui Jia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/ajst.v6i1.8444

Keywords:

5G, BASS model, Technology diffusion, Communication industry.

Abstract

This paper hopes to describe the technology diffusion of 5G in China's communication industry at a point in time almost two years after the commercialization, and to explore and verify the factors affecting its diffusion. Based on the data published by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China, the model is established by using STELLA as a tool. Simulations are conducted by profiling the system from both the Chinese government and communication operators' perspectives to predict the change in the number of 5G adopters over time. The results show that two factors, namely the Chinese government increasing the construction of communication infrastructure, and the operators increasing the types of 5G technology services, have a more significant effect on increasing the rate of 5G user adoption in China during the early stage of 5G technology into the individual consumer market.

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