Knowledge Graph Construction and Risk Prediction for Early Warning of Individual Extreme Violence

Authors

  • Xin Liu School of Information Network Security, People's Public Security University of China, Beijing, China
  • Yifan Wang School of Information Network Security, People's Public Security University of China, Beijing, China
  • Fanliang Bu School of Information Network Security, People's Public Security University of China, Beijing, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/d9yzvs56

Keywords:

Individual Extreme Violence, Knowledge Graphs, Risk Prediction, Interpretability

Abstract

Personal extreme violence is sudden, hidden and highly destructive, and its early identification and early warning have become a key task for public security governance. However, the existing methods based on text analysis and knowledge graph still have obvious shortcomings in risk semantic identification, conceptual system construction and risk assessment interpretability. For this reason, this article is aimed at the early warning of personal extreme violence behaviour, based on the risk ontology library, and then builds a knowledge graph, and puts forward an interpretable risk prediction framework ROKEF. The experimental results show that the method is significantly superior to the representative models of KGGen, GraphRAG and RAKG in terms of key semantic recognition such as high-risk behaviours, extreme speech and psychological abnormalities, and the generated spectrum also performs better in structural integrity and risk correlation. At the same time, the knowledge graph and interpretable forecasting framework based on the ontology library can effectively support the structured representation, quantitative evaluation and traceability analysis of risks. The research results show that this method can provide important theoretical value and practical support for intelligent early warning of individual extreme violence, intelligent public security construction and social security governance.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Meng, T. G., & Zhao, J. (2018). Big data-driven intelligent social governance: Theoretical construction and governance system. E-Government, (8), 2–11. https://doi.org/10.16582/ j. cnki. dzzw.2018.08.001.

[2] Gao, L., Zhang, H. C., & Yang, L. (2018). Research on intelligent information search technology based on knowledge graph and semantic computing. Information Studies: Theory & Application, 41(7), 42–47. https://doi.org/ 10.16353/j. cnki. 1000-7490.2018.07.009.

[3] Zhao, Y. H., Liu, L., Wang, H. L., et al. (2023). A survey of knowledge graph-based recommendation systems. Journal of Frontiers of Computer Science and Technology, 17(4), 771–791.

[4] Zhang, H. Y., Wang, X., Han, L. F., et al. (2023). Research on question answering system integrating large language model with knowledge graph. Journal of Frontiers of Computer Science and Technology, 17(10), 2377–2388.

[5] Liu, Q., Li, Y., Duan, H., et al. (2016). A survey on knowledge graph construction techniques. Journal of Computer Research and Development, 53(3), 582–600.

[6] Yuan, F. (2019). Research on anomalous event detection based on public safety knowledge graph [Master’s thesis]. Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences.

[7] Liao, Y. G., Lin, M. M., & He, W. (2018). A scientific knowledge graph of Chinese college students' psychological research in recent two decades: A visual analysis based on CiteSpace V. Journal of Southwest University (Social Sciences Edition), 44(2), 94–103, 192–193. https://doi.org/10. 13718/j. cnki. xdsk.2018.02.011.

[8] Tang, D. Q., Shi, W. Q., & Zhang, B. Y. (2018). Research on crime prediction algorithm based on multimodal information feature fusion. Computer Applications and Software, 35(7), 221–225, 262.

[9] Gruber, T. R. (1993). A translation approach to portable ontology specifications. Knowledge Acquisition, 5(2), 199–220.

[10] Suchanek, F. M., Kasneci, G., & Weikum, G. (2007). Yago: A core of semantic knowledge. In Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on World Wide Web (pp. 697–706).

[11] Zhao, J., Liu, K., Zhou, G. Y., et al. (2011). Open information extraction from text. Journal of Chinese Information Processing, 25(6), 98–110.

[12] Ai, J., Bai, S., Yang, S., et al. (2023). A versatile vision-language model for understanding, localization, text reading, and beyond [Preprint]. arXiv:2308.12966.

[13] Melnyk, I., Dognin, P., & Das, P. (2021). Grapher: Multi-stage knowledge graph construction using pretrained language models. In NeurIPS 2021 Workshop on Deep Generative Models and Downstream Applications.

[14] Zhang, H., Si, J., Yan, G., et al. (2025). RAKG: Document-level retrieval augmented knowledge graph construction [Preprint]. arXiv:2504.09823.

[15] Cao, Z., Xu, Q., Yang, Z., et al. (2022). Otkge: Multi-modal knowledge graph embeddings via optimal transport. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 35, 39090–39102.

[16] Ylönen, M., & Aven, T. (2023). A framework for understanding risk based on the concepts of ontology and epistemology. Journal of Risk Research, 26(6), 581–593.

[17] Vaswani, A., Shazeer, N., Parmar, N., et al. (2017). Attention is all you need. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30.

[18] Rice, M. E., Harris, G. T., & Lang, C. (2013). Validation of and revision to the VRAG and SORAG: The Violence Risk Appraisal Guide—Revised (VRAG-R). Psychological Assessment, 25(3), 951.

[19] Vossekuil, B. (2002). The final report and findings of the Safe School Initiative: Implications for the prevention of school attacks in the United States. Diane Publishing.

[20] Lyu, K., Zhao, H., Gu, X., et al. (2024). Keeping llms aligned after fine-tuning: The crucial role of prompt templates. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 37, 118603–118631.

[21] Bai, S., Chen, K., Liu, X., et al. (2025). Qwen2.5-vl technical report [Preprint]. arXiv:2502.13923.

[22] Chen, J., Xiao, S., Zhang, P., et al. (2024). Bge m3-embedding: Multi-lingual, multi-functionality, multi-granularity text embeddings through self-knowledge distillation [Preprint]. arXiv:2402.03216.

[23] Mo, B., Yu, K., Kazdan, J., et al. (2025). Kggen: Extracting knowledge graphs from plain text with language models [Preprint]. arXiv:2502.09956.

[24] Edge, D., Trinh, H., Cheng, N., et al. (2024). From local to global: A graph rag approach to query-focused summarization [Preprint]. arXiv:2404.16130.

[25] Werlen, L. M., & Henderson, J. (2022). Graph refinement for coreference resolution. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2022 (pp. 2732–2742).

Downloads

Published

31-07-2026

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Liu, X., Wang, Y., & Bu, F. (2026). Knowledge Graph Construction and Risk Prediction for Early Warning of Individual Extreme Violence. Academic Journal of Management and Social Sciences, 16(3), 45-50. https://doi.org/10.54097/d9yzvs56