A Review of Research on Evaluation Methods for Missile Weapon System Effectiveness

Abstract

Weapon system effectiveness evaluation is a foundational task in the modern military domain, profoundly impacting national security and long-term development. Accurate evaluation guides subsequent optimization and upgrades of weapon systems, enhancing their application effectiveness and survivability in future conflicts. This study comprehensively analyzes parameters such as reliability, maintainability, and operational applicability, employing multiple methodological frameworks including the ADC method (Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP, and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation) for systematic analysis. It also considers uncertainties like environmental conditions and operator skill levels. The research encompasses the entire lifecycle of weapon systems, including design, manufacturing, improvement, and operational use, with case studies demonstrating applications across different weapon types. Finally, the paper underscores the importance of effectiveness evaluation and outlines future research directions and challenges.