The Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of Carbon Emission Trading Policy in China

Authors

  • Kunli Tang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/hbem.v18i.12400

Keywords:

carbon emission trading policy, multi-period difference-in-differences, medintion effect, carbon reduction,synergistic effect.

Abstract

The carbon emission trading policy attributes carbon dioxide emission rights to commodities, representing an important exploration to reduce carbon emissions by the market mechanism. Since 2013, China has implemented the carbon emission trading policy. In order to study whether the carbon emission reduction effect of emission trading policy in pilot areas and what is the pathway, this paper uses multi-period difference-in-differences method and the medintion effect method. An empirical analysis of panel data from 283 prefecture-level cities in China between 2006 and 2019.The research findings demonstrate that: (1) The policy about carbon emission trading significantly reduced carbon emissions,which is still valid after a series of robustness tests, and had a synergistic effect. (2) The policy primarily promotes carbon dioxide emission reduction through innovation in green technology and adjustments in industrial structure. (3) In comparison to the eastern and western regions, the policy performs better in central regions. Furthermore, the effectiveness of emission reduction depends on the intensity of environmental regulations, thus, stricter regulations are more conducive to carbon reduction. This paper provides strong evidence to the expansion of carbon emission trading pilots, and guides the operation of carbon emission trading market in China.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Liu, L.;Chen, C.;Zhao, Y.;Zhao, E. China׳s Carbon-Emissions Trading: Overview, Challenges and Future.Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.2015,(49):254-266.

Chai, S.;Sun, R;Zhang, K.;Ding, Y.;Wei, W. Is Emissions Trading Scheme an Effective Market-Incentivized Environmental Regulation Policy?Evidence from China’s Eight ETS Pilots. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.2022,19(6).

Hu,J.;Fang, Q.;Long, W. Carbon Emission Regulation, Corporate Emission Reduction lncentive and TotaFactor Productivity: A Natural Experiment Based on China’s Carbon EmissionTrading System. Economic Research.2023,58(04):77-94.

Wu, L.;Qian, H.;Tang, W. Selection Mechanism between Emission Trading and Carbon Taxbased on Simulation of Dynamic Marginal Abatement Cost. Economic Research,2014,49(09):48-61+148.

Shi, M.;Yuan, Y.;Zhou, S.;Li, N. Carbon Tax, Cap-and-Trade or Mixed policy:Which is Better for Carbon Mitigation?Journal of Management Science in China.2013,16(09):9-19.

Liu, H.;Zhong, Y. Carbon trading and "Carbon Tax" Emission Reduction Effect and Action Path. Commercial Research,2023(01):98-107.

Brink, C.;Vollebergh, R H;Werf, D V E.Carbon Pricing in the EU: Evaluation of Different EU ETS Reform Options. Energy Policy.2016,97.

Li, W.;Jia, Z.Carbon Tax, Emission Trading, or the Mixed Policy:Which is the Most Effective Strategy for Climate Change Mitigation in China?Mitigationand Adaptation Strategies for Global Change.2017.

Cui L.;Fan Y.;Zhu, L. How Will the Emissions Trading Scheme Save Cost for Achieving China’s 2020 Carbon Intensity Reduction Target?Applied Energy.2014,136(C).

Dai H.;Masui, T. Assessing the Contribution of Carbon Emissions Trading in China to Carbon Intensity Reduction.Energy Science and Technology,2012,4(1).

Zhang, Y.;Peng, Y.;Ma, C. Can Environmental Innovation Facilitate Carbon Emissions reduction? Evidence from China. Energy Policy,2017,100.

Yu, W.;Luo, J. Impact on Carbon Intensity of Carbon Emission Trading-Evidence from a Pilot Program in 281 Cities in China.International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.2022,19(19).

Li, C.;Qi, Y.;Liu, S.;Wang X. Do Carbon ETS Pilots Improve Cities’ Green Total Factor Productivity?Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in China.Energy Economics.2022,108:1-9

Du, G.;Yu, M.;Sun, C.;Han Z. Green Innovation Effect of Emission Trading Policy on Pilot Areas and Neighboring Areas: An Analysis Based on the Spatial Econometric Model.Energy Policy,2021,156(1).

Zhang, W.;Li, J.;Li, G.;Guo, S. Emission Reduction Effect and Carbon Market Efficiency of Carbon Emissions Trading Policy in China.Energy,2020,196(C).

Cui, J.;Wang, C.;Zhang J.;Yang, Z. The effectiveness of China's Regional Carbon Market Pilots in Reducing Firm Emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.2021,52.

Liu, C.;Sun Z.;Zhang, J.Research on the effect of carbon emission reduction policy in China's carbonemissions trading pilot. China Population, Resources and Environment.2019,29(11):49-58.

Chen, J.;Gao, M.;Cheng, S.;Hou, W.;Song, M.;Liu, X.;Liu Y.;Shan Y. County-level CO2 Emissions and Sequestration in China during 1997-2017. Scientific data,2020,7(1).

Cheng, B.;Dai, H.;Wang P.;Zhao D.;Masui, T. Impacts of Carbon Trading Scheme on Air Pollutant Emissions in Guangdong Province of China. Energy for Sustainable Development.2015,27.

Porter M E. America’s Green Strategy. Scientific American.1991,264(4):168-264.

Chen, D.;Liao H.;Tan, H. Study on the Emission Reduction Effect and Mechanism of China's Carbon Trading Policy. Technology Economics.2022,41 (7): 106-119.

Goodchild A.; Toy, J. Delivery by Drone: An Evaluation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Technology in Reducing CO2 Emissions in the Delivery Service Industry. Transportation Research.2016, 61(PT.A): 58-67.

Cheng, Z.; Li, L.; Liu, J. Industrial Structure, Technical Progress and Carbon Intensity in China's Provinces. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.2018,81.

Siedenburg, J.; Brown S.; Hoch. S. Voices from the Field-Carbon Markets and Rural Poverty as Seen from Madagascar and Mali. Climate and Development.2016,8(1).

Liu, M.;Cheng, S. Does the Carbon Emission Trading Scheme Promote the Optimization and Upgrading of Regional Industrial Structure? Management Review.2022,34(7):33-46.

Wu, Y.;Qi, J.;Xian, Q;Chen, J. The Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of China's Carbon Market--from the Perspective of the Coordination between Market Mechanism and Administrative Interventior.China Industrial Economics.2021 (08):114-132.

Jacobson, L. S.; La Londe, R. J.;Sullivan, D. G. Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers. The American Economic Review.1993,83(4):685-790.

Cai, X.;Lu, Y.;Wu M.;Lin, Y. Does Environmental Regulation Drive Away Inbound Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from a Quasi-Natural experiment in China.Development Economics.2016,123.

Song, H.; Sun, Y.; Chen, D. Assessment for the Effect of Government Air Pollution Control Policy: Empirical Evidence from "Low-carbon City" Construction in China. Management World. 2019, 35(06): 95-108+195.

Wen, Z.;Hou J.;Zhang, L. A Comprarison of Moderator and Mediator and Their Applications. Acta Psychologica Sinica.2005,37(2):268-274.

Yuan, H.;Zhu, C.Do National High-Tech Zones Promote the Transformation and Upgrading of China'sindustrial Structure?China Industrial Economics. 2018 (08): 60-77.

Gan, C.;Zheng, R.;Yu, D. An Empirical Study on the Effects of lndustrial Structure on Economic Growth and Fluctuations in China. Economic Research. 2011,46(5):4-16,31.

Chen, S.;Chen, D. Air Pollution, Government Requlations and High-quality Economic Development. Economic Research.2018,53(02):20-34.

Wang, Y.;Li, M. Study on Local Government Attention of Ecological Environment Governance: Basedon the Text Analysis of Government Work Report in 30 Provinces and Cities (2006-2015). China Population, Resources and Environmen, 2017,27(02):28-35.

Downloads

Published

15-10-2023