Research of China's New Energy Vehicle Market Based on TOPSIS and LSTM Models

Authors

  • Huiyi Tu
  • Weiliang Li
  • Zijian Zheng
  • Yongqiang Li
  • Xingle Zhou

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/s2c37b57

Keywords:

New energy vehicles; LSTM models; Predictive models; TOPSIS methods; .Time series forecasting.

Abstract

This research paper provides an in-depth analysis of the development trajectory of China's New Energy Vehicle (NEV) market, utilizing both the TOPSIS and LSTM models. The TOPSIS model is ingeniously applied to assess the development level of the NEV industry, identifying key factors such as government policies, charging infrastructure, public acceptance, technological progress, and economic indicators. Subsequently, the paper delves into the LSTM model, a specialized form of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) designed for handling time-series data with long-term dependencies. The LSTM architecture, equipped with forget, input, and output gates, is trained to minimize Mean Square Error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), thereby optimizing model performance and preventing overfitting. The predictive capabilities of the LSTM model are demonstrated through a forecast of NEV sales in China for the next decade, showcasing the model's effectiveness in capturing market dynamics and growth trends. The integration of TOPSIS for evaluative analysis and LSTM for predictive forecasting offers a robust framework for understanding and anticipating the complexities of the NEV market.

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References

Yeung, Godfrey. "‘Made in China 2025’: the development of a new energy vehicle industry in China." Area Development and Policy 4.1 (2019): 39-59.

Ma, Ye, et al. "Comprehensive policy evaluation of NEV development in China, Japan, the United States, and Germany based on the AHP-EW model." Journal of cleaner production 214 (2019): 389-402.

Liu, Chang, et al. "The capital market responses to new energy vehicle (NEV) subsidies: An event study on China." Energy Economics 105 (2022): 105677.

Çelikbilek, Yakup, and Fatih Tüysüz. "An in-depth review of theory of the TOPSIS method: An experimental analysis." Journal of Management Analytics 7.2 (2020): 281-300.

Yu, Yong, et al. "A review of recurrent neural networks: LSTM cells and network architectures." Neural computation 31.7 (2019): 1235-1270.

Liu, Yingqi, and Ari Kokko. "NEV technology in China." Chinese Management Studies 6.1 (2012): 78-91.

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Published

10-06-2024

How to Cite

Tu, H., Li, W., Zheng, Z., Li, Y., & Zhou, X. (2024). Research of China’s New Energy Vehicle Market Based on TOPSIS and LSTM Models. Highlights in Business, Economics and Management, 34, 142-150. https://doi.org/10.54097/s2c37b57