Research on the Disconnect Between Low Unemployment and Wage Growth in the U.S. and Coping Strategy

Authors

  • Wen Yuan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/r7zhkh71

Keywords:

Wage Stagnation, Unemployment, Inflation, Labor Market, Automation.

Abstract

There has long been significant work available in the U.S. Indeed, unemployment rates have remained extremely low in recent years, but wages still have not. This has been a puzzle to most economists, who in the past have always expected that high employment should increase wages as organizations scramble for human resources. However, due to factors such as labor market density, inflation, technology, and the growth of gig economy jobs, the U.S. labor market has distorted this structure. This paper analyzes the trends in unemployment and wages, taking issues such as regional differences, low-skilled job polarization, and the effect of automation on the workforce into consideration. It also provides recommendations on how to deal with challenges, such as policies to support labor market flexibility, the creation of high-skill employment, and the ability to overcome inflation. The paper includes a synthesis of wage stagnation and realistic strategies to enhance wages in various sectors of the market economy.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Autor, David. H. & Dorn, Daid. The growth of low-skill service jobs and the polarization of the U.S. labor market. American Economic Review, 2013, 103 (5), 1553-1597.

[2] Abdih, M. Yasser., & Danninger, M. Stephan. (2018). Understanding U.S. wage dynamics. International Monetary Fund.

[3] Donayre, Luiggi. & Panovska, Irina. U.S. wage growth and nonlinearities: The roles of inflation and unemployment. Economic Modelling, 2018, 68, 273-292.

[4] Donayre, Luiggi. & Panovska, Irina. Nonlinearities in the U.S.wage Phillips curve. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2016, 48, 19-43.

[5] Leduc, Sylvain, Marti, Chitra., & Wilson, Daniel. Does ultra-low unemployment spur rapid wage growth? FRBSF Economic Letter, 2019, 2.

[6] Lee, Jongkwan, Shim, Myungkyu, & Yang, Hee. Seung. The rise of low-skill service employment: The role of dual-earner households. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022, 202, 255-273.

[7] Jordà, Òscar, & Nechio, Fernanda. Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic. European Economic Review, 2023, 156, 104474.

[8] Orlando, Giuseppe, Pisarchik, Alexander. N., & Stoop, Ruedi. Nonlinearities in economics. Springer International Publishing, 2021, 153-168.

[9] Coibion, Olivier, Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, & Weber, Michael. Labor markets during the COVID-19 crisis: A preliminary view (No. w27017). National Bureau of Economic Research, 2020.

[10] Ferri, Piero, Cristini, Annalisa, & Tramontana, Fabio. Meta-models of the Phillips curve and income distribution. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2023, 213, 215-232.

Downloads

Published

08-02-2025

How to Cite

Yuan, W. (2025). Research on the Disconnect Between Low Unemployment and Wage Growth in the U.S. and Coping Strategy. Highlights in Business, Economics and Management, 47, 45-51. https://doi.org/10.54097/r7zhkh71