Research on Land Use Change and the Contribution Degree of its Driving Force Factors: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta, China

Zhiren Zeng; Jiayu Wang

doi:10.54097/m0jdp464

Authors

Zhiren Zeng
Jiayu Wang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/m0jdp464

Keywords:

Enter ke Land use; Driving force factor; Random forest; The Yangtze River Delta; Spatio-temporal big data.

Abstract

In recent decades, global land use change has had a profound impact on ecosystems, economic development and environmental quality. The study of land use change plays an important role in promoting the optimization of land resource management and urban planning and achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Based on the random forest method, this study classifies and interprets seven periods of remote sensing images in the Yangtze River Delta from 2000 to 2020, and systematically analyzes the spatio-temporal characteristics of land use change in this region and the contribution rate of its driving factors. From 2000 to 2020, the developed land increased significantly by 54.60%, while the areas of plowland, woodland and grassland decreased by 8.89%, 1.25% and 2.95% respectively. The areas of unused land and water bodies increased by 5.80% and 403.62% respectively. The analysis of the contribution degree of driving force factors indicates that natural factors such as precipitation, temperature and slope, along with socio-economic factors such as shopping services, medical services and catering services, jointly drive land use change. Among them, what is particularly prominent is that the contribution of precipitation to the expansion of woodland is as high as 0.164, and the contribution of the shopping service industry to the expansion of urban land is 0.149. It reveals the dual driving mechanism of "natural basis - humanistic traction" of land use change, providing a scientific basis for regional land resource management and sustainable development.

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