When Investment Banking Apprenticeship Meets AI: The Competency Collapse Crisis of Junior Analysts

Authors

  • Xinran Dai Chiway Repton School Xiamen 361021, Fujian Province, China
  • Yuge Liu Cogdel Cranleigh High School Wuhan, Hubei Province, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/a4wn4g92

Keywords:

Investment Banking Apprenticeship, AI Substitution, Junior Analyst, Competency Collapse.

Abstract

The traditional investment banking apprenticeship is centered around "Progressive Responsibility." The close interaction between mentors and apprentices acts as an "invisible bond," facilitating the transfer of such nuanced model control and intuitive negotiation judgment. However, the rise of AI is quietly severing this bond. The data indicates that up to 73% of junior analysts' working hours (e.g., financial data cleaning, standardized DCF template generation) can now be automated. As AI efficiently takes over these fundamental tasks, opportunities for analysts to engage with core business and accumulate experience progressively shrink drastically. A new "Competency Collapse" crisis emerges: while basic skills are being substituted, high-order competencies are failing to develop due to a lack of "graduated training," ultimately leading to a structural collapse of overall competence. This paper introduces the concept of "Competency Collapse" into financial talent research for the first time, employs an "AI Substitution Rate - Skill Demand Change Rate" two-dimensional framework to quantify the extent of the crisis, and explores its causes, manifestations, and solutions, providing theoretical and practical references for industry transformation. The study finds AI, automating 73% of junior analysts' fundamental tasks, severs tacit knowledge transfer and disrupts skill development's trial-and-error cycle, causing "Competency Collapse" (dual skill imbalance, AI over-reliance, promotion misalignment). It proposes a multi-level (individual, team, organizational) intervention framework to turn AI into a competency enabler, offering investment banking talent cultivation paths.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Michel J. Apprenticeship in investment banking: How junior bankers learn the craft of finance. Work Occup., 2017, 44 (3): 253 - 284.

[2] Goldman S. Generative AI in investment banking. Industry Research Report, Goldman Sachs: New York, 2023.

[3] Cappelli P. Skill gaps, skill shortages and skill mismatches: Evidence for the US. ILR Rev. 2015, 68 (2): 341 - 362.

[4] Goffee R.; Jones, G. Why should anyone be led by you? Harv. Bus. Rev., 2000, 78 (5): 62 - 70.

[5] Lave J, Wenger E. Situated learning: Legitimate peripheral participation. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1991.

[6] Autor DH, Levy F, Murnane R. The skill content of recent technological change: An empirical exploration. Q.J. Econ. 2003, 118 (4): 1279 - 1333.

[7] University of Oxford. Future of employment: Automation risk forecast report. Research Report; University of Oxford: Oxford, 2023.

[8] Acemoglu D, Restrepo P. Automation and new tasks: How technology displaces and reinstates labor. J. Econ. Perspect. 2018, 32 (2): 3 - 30.

[9] LinkedIn. Global Financial Skills Trends 2024, Data Brief, LinkedIn: Sunnyvale, 2024.

[10] World Economic Forum. The Future of Jobs Report 2023; International Research Report; World Economic Forum: Geneva, 2023.

[11] Dreyfus HL, Dreyfus SE. A five-stage model of the mental activities involved in directed skill acquisition. Calif. Manage. Rev. 1980, 22 (3): 21 - 31.

[12] Polanyi M. The Tacit Dimension; Doubleday: New York, 1966.

[13] World Health Organization. Burn-out an "Occupational Phenomenon": International Classification of Diseases. World Health Organization, May 28, 2019. https://www.who.int/news/item/28-05-2019-burn-out-an-occupational-phenomenon-international-classification-of-diseases (accessed on 2025 - 02 - 20).

[14] Katzenbach JR, Smith DK. The Wisdom of Teams: Creating the high-performance organization, revised ed. Harvard Business Review Press: Boston, 2015.

[15] Edmondson AC. Teaming: How organizations learn, innovate, and compete in the knowledge economy. Jossey-Bass: San Francisco, 2012.

[16] O'Reilly CA, Tushman M L. Organizational ambidexterity: past, present, and future. Acad. Manage. Perspect., 2013, 27 (4): 324 - 338.

Downloads

Published

13-03-2026

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Dai, X., & Liu, Y. (2026). When Investment Banking Apprenticeship Meets AI: The Competency Collapse Crisis of Junior Analysts. Journal of Innovation and Development, 14(3), 740-747. https://doi.org/10.54097/a4wn4g92