Analysis of the Influencing Factors of China's Birth Rate

Abstract

The increasingly serious problem, population aging, in China has made people focus more on the factors affecting the fertility rate which plays a key role in affecting population aging. An increasing number of scholars have started to analyze various influencing factors in detail, but since most of them only focus on one or two specific factors, this paper tries to merge the key factors together and conduct the analysis. This paper separates the key factors into three levels: population, social and policy. The conclusion is yielded that people’s unwillingness to have children, unbalanced sex ratio, advanced social security level, high income, high house price, and large education expenditure all contribute to the decrease in social fertility rate. However, the two-child policy and the growing education popularizing rate can help increase the birth rate. In particular, the average schooling year affects the birth rate with a U-shaped relationship, with a relatively low or high schooling year resulting in a high birth rate.