Macroeconomic Analysis of the Investment Value of Individual Stocks in the Chinese Real Estate Market

Authors

  • Yihang Chen

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/k55c0388

Keywords:

Real estate, China, analysis, Stocks.

Abstract

Following several years of downturn in the Chinese real estate market, recent developments have introduced potential favorable opportunities for the market. The Chinese macroeconomic environment is heating up, providing a favorable backdrop for the development of the real estate sector. This article aims to combine the current development prospects of the Chinese macroeconomy and the real estate industry to offer stock recommendations. By comparing relevant data from the perspectives of risk, return, and market conditions, the article seeks to identify reasonable stock choices. This includes comparing the company's performance from various perspectives through market size, price fluctuations, returns, and momentum. Overall, among the three stocks analyzed, Vanke A and China Merchants Shekou display a stable upward trend and are suitable for long-term investment. They hold significant appeal for value investors, as the data suggests that these two stocks are clearly undervalued. Country Garden is in a period of adjustment with less favorable returns but could be considered for short-term investment.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Ma, Hong, and Wang, Yuanyue. "Debt Financing Scale, Debt Term Structure, and Macroeconomic Environment: Empirical Analysis Based on Data from Chinese Listed Companies." *Modern Finance* (Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics) 36.11 (2016): 39-51. doi: 10.19559/j.cnki.12-1387.2016.11.004. (On debt)

[2] Chen, Jianqi, and Zhang, Yuan. "China’s Macroeconomic Difficulties and Supply-Side Reforms: Analysis and Outlook on the 2016 Open Macroeconomic Situation." *International Trade* 04 (2016): 8-13. doi: 10.14114/j.cnki.itrade.2016.04.003. (On interest rate adjustments and market trends)

[3] Liu, Bin, and Sun, Lujian. "Empirical Analysis of the Contribution Rate of Factors to China's Economic Growth." *Journal of Xi'an University of Technology* 35.11 (2015): 921-925. doi: 10.16185/j.jxatu.edu.cn.2015.11.012. (On technological advancement)

[4] Wang, Danjun, Zhang, Zhanyang, and Wang, Fengwei. "Analysis and Forecast of China’s GDP Total." *China Collective Economy* 14 (2024): 27-30. (On GDP growth)

[5] Yi, Baozhong, and Zhou, He. "Empirical Study on the Impact of Industrial Agglomeration on Real Estate Prices in China." *Taxation and Economy* 01 (2020): 25-32. (On real estate prices influenced by land and population)

[6] Nie, Meisheng. "Current Situation of Real Estate and Industrial Transformation: Speech by President Nie Meisheng at the Summit Forum on Real Estate Transformation and Industrial Development." *China Building Metal Structure* (2011): 13-17. (On real estate market conditions and industrial transformation)

[7] Zhang, Renfeng. "Reform of China's Real Estate Financial System under the Background of Industrial Transformation." *Journal of Hunan Business College* 19.01 (2012): 97-101. (On dependence on banks and industrial transformation)

[8] Wang, Congcong. "Research on Risk Control of Trust Investment Fund Financing in Real Estate Companies." *Financial News* 07 (2024): 86-88. (On financing)

[9] He, Dexu, and Xia, Fanshe. "Analysis of Star Analysts' Attention, Corporate Investment Behavior, and Company Value." *Journal of Financial Economics Research* 39.01 (2024): 112-125. (On investment behavior and company value)

[10] Fu, Yu. *Research on Stock Investment Value Analysis of Everbright Securities*. 2023. Lanzhou University, MA thesis.

Downloads

Published

24-12-2024

How to Cite

Chen, Y. (2024). Macroeconomic Analysis of the Investment Value of Individual Stocks in the Chinese Real Estate Market. Highlights in Business, Economics and Management, 45, 141-147. https://doi.org/10.54097/k55c0388