Relationship Analysis COVID-19 Pandemic and cryptocurrency market with Machine Learning

Abstract

The global economy receives a catastrophic blow due to the COVID-19 epidemic, with long-term pessimism shown towards the global market and exponential increasing expectation for looking for a reliable safe-haven asset. Now, it seems the possible alternatives to traditional currencies issued and backed by governments have primarily emerged - in the form of Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as several other cryptocurrencies. Cryptocurrencies have been on the market for a long time and have been controversial in the international financial markets for their unique properties. Since the outbreak of COVID-19, the price of cryptocurrencies has seen an unprecedented increase. Whether the price increase of cryptocurrencies is linked to the COVID-19 outbreak is a mystery. This paper will focus on exploring this question through a linear regression machine learning model. The data in the U.S.A are used here. Our results show that the price of bitcoin is significantly related to the price of Ethereum. There is some correlation between covid-19 new cases incensement and the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating the legitimacy of predicting cryptocurrencies’ price using covid-19 new cases incensement as a factor.