The House Price Prediction Using Machine Learning Algorithm: The Case of Jinan, China

Authors

  • Chengke Zou

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/hset.v39i.6549

Keywords:

House Price; Machine Learning; Feature Selection; Regression.

Abstract

House prices increase substantially in China from 1998. Because of expensive house prices, most Chinese people have only one chance to select suitable houses. Therefore, building a house price prediction model based on housing conditions is significant for customers to make decisions. This paper collects the estate market data of Jinan city from the HomeLink website and performs several feature selection algorithms to get critical features for house price prediction. The paper compares the classical machine learning methods for the problem, including Multiple Linear Regression, Random Forest, and Catboost. After cross-validation tests, the CatBoost, algorithm with the lowest Mean Square Error (MSE) is regarded as the most accurate algorithm to predict house prices. The analytic results show that the house price is dominated by the location features such as area and block.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Maslow, A. A Theory of Human Motivation. Psychological Review, 50(4), 1943, pp.370-396.

Jing Wu & Joseph Gyourko & Yongheng Deng. "Evaluating the risk of Chinese housing markets: What we know and what we need to know," China Economic Review, 2016, vol 39, pages 91-114.

Lancaster, K. J. 'A new approach to consumer theory', The Journal of Political Economy, 1966, Vol. 74, No. 2, pp. 132- 157.

Herath, Shanaka & Maier, Gunther. "The hedonic price method in real estate and housing market research. A review of the literature," SRE-Discussion Papers 2010/03, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2010.

T. D. Phan, "Housing Price Prediction Using Machine Learning Algorithms: The Case of Melbourne City, Australia," 2018 International Conference on Machine Learning and Data Engineering (iCMLDE), 2018, pp. 35-42, doi: 10.1109/iCMLDE.2018.00017.

Byeonghwa Park, Jae Kwon Bae, Using machine learning algorithms for housing price prediction: The case of Fairfax County, Virginia housing data, Expert Systems with Applications, Volume 42, Issue 6, 2015, Pages 2928-2934.

M. Thamarai, S P. Malarvizhi, "House Price Prediction Modeling Using Machine Learning", International Journal of Information Engineering and Electronic Business (IJIEEB), Vol.12, No.2, pp. 15-20, 2020.

Jing Wu, Joseph Gyourko, Yongheng DEng, Evaluating the risk of Chinese housing markets: What we know and what we need to know, China Economic Review, Volume 39, 2016, Pages 91-114.

Yongheng Deng, Joseph Gyourko and Jing Wu, "Land and House Price Measurement in China," in Property Markets and Financial Stability, A. Heath, F. Packer and C. Windsor (ed.), Reserve Bank of Australia, (2012), ISBN: 978-0-9873620-3-2.

Chau, Kwong Wing and Chin, T. L., A Critical Review of Literature on the Hedonic Price Model (June 12, 2002). International Journal for Housing Science and Its Applications 27 (2), 145-165, 2003.

Y. Cong, J. Liu, B. Fan, P. Zeng, H. Yu and J. Luo, "Online Similarity Learning for Big Data with Overfitting," in IEEE Transactions on Big Data, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 78-89, 1 March 2018.

Wren, J.D. Extending the mutual information measure to rank inferred literature relationships. BMC Bioinformatics 5, 145 (2004).

V. Aggarwal, V. Gupta, P. Singh, K. Sharma and N. Sharma, "Detection of Spatial Outlier by Using Improved Z-Score Test," 2019 3rd International Conference on Trends in Electronics and Informatics (ICOEI), 2019, pp. 788-790.

Aiken, L.S., West, S.G. and Pitts, S.C. (2003). Multiple Linear Regression. In Handbook of Psychology, I.B. Weiner (Ed.), 2003.

Breiman, L. Random Forests. Machine Learning 45, 5–32 (2001).

Dorogush AV, Ershov V, Gulin A. CatBoost: gradient boosting with categorical features support, 2018.

Huang Z. Clustering large data sets with mixed numeric and categorical values. InProceedings of the 1st pacific-asia conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, (PAKDD) 1997 Feb 23 (pp. 21-34).

Downloads

Published

01-04-2023