Employ Mathematical Modeling to Summarize, Analyze, And Predict the Relationship Between Carbon Dioxide and Temperature, Location, And Other Factors.

Abstract

Fluctuations in the amount of greenhouse gases (GHGs) are affected by a variety of factors, both natural and artificial. Natural factors, such as volcanic eruptions and changes in the intensity of solar radiation, can cause fluctuations in greenhouse gases. However, in recent years, human activities have surpassed natural factors and have become a major driver of climate change. During the industrial revolution, the widespread use of fossil fuels, large-scale deforestation and emissions from factories caused irreversible damage to ecosystems. Rising global temperatures are destroying natural ecosystems around the world and are a potential threat to human survival. In this paper, we systematically examine and analyze the main sources of greenhouse gas emissions, explore the factors contributing to air pollution, and evaluate the specific impacts of these changes on global warming. We analyze the relationship between global warming and different factors (economic development, clean energy, and CO₂ emissions) by using both one-way linear regression models and multiple linear regression models. A quadratic linear regression model shows that solar energy is the most promising renewable energy source. Meanwhile, using the global GDP as a criterion, we have shown that economic growth contributes to CO₂ emissions. However, due to the governments having valued economic development more, the upward growth trend of the economic development curve is intensified, while the downward growth trend of the global average temperature is slowed down. Finally, we developed a multivariate linear regression model to evaluate whether using new energy sources could help mitigate global warming. Based on the previous analysis, we focus on the factor of CO₂ emission. By using the linear regression model, we obtained the projected values of CO₂ emissions, clean energy usage and global GDP in 2050, and the CO₂ emissions in 2050 are 36.59439 billion tons, which meet the goal of carbon neutrality.