Land Financing Model and Local Government Debt Governance: An Empirical Study of Prefecture-Level Cities in China

Abstract

This paper addresses the lack of comprehensive research on land financing in relation to local government debt governance. It examines two land financing methods: "Getting revenue by selling land" and "land finance," using an endogenetic approach. The study analyzes the interactive relationship between local government debt expansion and land financing modes using panel data from Chinese prefecture-level cities. Key findings include: (1) Land financing methods significantly increase local government debt leverage, with varying performance levels. (2) Regional economic competition and financial status influence the interaction between land financing and local debt risk. (3) Fiscal and financial policies regulate local government's land financing behavior, leading to diverse approaches. To achieve effective fiscal and financial governance, it is crucial to establish a strong connection between local government debt risk prevention/control and land use mode. Implementing differentiated systems can enhance land use efficiency.