Analysis of Influencing Factors on the Fluctuation of RMB-Dollar Exchange Rate in 2022
-- Based on Micro Perspective
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54097/fbem.v11i1.11601Keywords:
Renminbi exchange rate, Influencing factors, Micro perspective.Abstract
This paper explores the influencing factors of the fluctuation of the exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar in 2022. By summarizing the past research results of scholars, trying to use empirical models from the micro perspective, and analyzing the actual situation in connection with the four phases of RMB-dollar exchange rate fluctuations in 2022, the final study concludes that the fluctuations of the RMB-dollar exchange rate in 2022 are related to the events such as high-frequency interest rate hike of the Federal Reserve, the new Crown Pneumonia outbreak, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Downloads
References
Yang J,Feng Yun. Equilibrium exchange rate and central bank intervention under the new normal--And the dynamic evolution mechanism of exchange rate imbalance[J]. Modern Economic Discussion,2022(09):11-27.
GU Yu,LIU Min. A study on the impact of exchange rate communication on RMB exchange rate expectations from the perspective of individual investors--an analysis based on individual investors' "concern" and "sentiment" channels[J]. Economic Science, 2020(05):32-44.
BIAN Zhicun, ZHANG Yi. Central Bank Disclosure, Real Intervention and Inflation Expectation Management [J]. Economic Research, 2012, 47(12):15-28.
Gao Gao Mei, Yang Cheng, Gu Yu. Study on the Influencing Factors of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation under the Perspective of Central Bank Intervention--An Empirical Analysis Based on the Economies of China and the United States[J]. Research on Financial Issues,2013(02):45-53.
SIDENKUI, JIANG Chun, LI Xiaolin. Dynamic determination of exchange rate based on exchange rate expectations and central bank foreign exchange intervention:A theoretical analysis and empirical study[J]. Statistical Research, 2016, 33 (09): 13-21.
JIANG Chun,SI Dengkui,LI Xiaolin. Dynamic determination of the renminbi exchange rate based on the extended Taylor rule exchange rate model:theoretical analysis and empirical study [J]. Financial Research,2018(02):82-99.
WANG Xuan,YANG Haizhen. Integrated analysis of the causes of RMB exchange rate volatility and forecast of real effective exchange rate[J]. Financial Forum,2017,22(08):24-34.
Zhu Mennan,Yan Shuai. RMB exchange rate effect of economic news [J]. International Financial Studies, 2018 (07): 78-85.
Xiao Lisheng, Yang Jiaohui, Li Yingting, Zhu Yuzhao. China's economic fundamentals, central bank intervention and RMB exchange rate expectations [J]. World Economy, 2021, 44(09): 51-76.
WANG Aijian,LIU Haojie,WANG Jingyi. A study on the influencing factors of RMB exchange rate expectation uncertainty - based on the perspectives of time-varying impulse response and time-varying information spillover[J]. Financial Forum,2021,26(08):18-27.
Zhang Baosheng. Research on the impact of the Fed's monetary policy on the RMB exchange rate [D]. Foreign Affairs College,2020.
SIDENKUI, LI Xiaolin, JIANG Chun. Central bank foreign exchange intervention, investor sentiment and exchange rate movements[J]. Statistical Research,2018,35(11):58-70.
Li Qing,Hao Jianhuan. Exploration of the causes of RMB exchange rate volatility and response initiatives under the perspective of double cycle [J]. Foreign Economic and Trade Practice, 2022 (09): 39-44.








