Research on the Impact of Fintech on Liquidity Risk of Chinese Commercial Banks

Authors

  • Yiqi Wang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/24wmaj12

Keywords:

Commercial banks, FinTech, Liquidity, Liquidity risk, Net interest margin, Non-interest income share, Heterogeneity analysis.

Abstract

This paper investigates the liquidity impact of fintech development on commercial banks with a sample of 18 Chinese commercial banks over the time interval from 2013 to 2022. This paper constructs a basic regression model, three models with the introduction of mediating variables, and a model for heterogeneity analysis. An empirical analysis in this paper begins by analyzing the overall trend of data by conducting a descriptive statistical analysis of the selected variables; in the second step, it is determined whether the selection of the variables is reasonable through the test of multiple covariance; in the third step, regression analysis is carried out on the data to determine the relationship between the variables; in the fourth step, it is determined through the mediation effect model whether FinTech will have an impact on the liquidity of commercial banks through the selected intermediary variable impact; subsequently, a heterogeneity analysis is conducted to determine whether there are differences in the nature of ownership and regions in the impact; finally, a robust-type test is conducted to determine whether the results of the regression analysis are credible. The results show that the liquidity risk of commercial banks is significantly reduced as fintech companies strengthen their interconnection with commercial banks. In addition, the net interest margin cannot be used as a mediating variable for FinTech to affect the liquidity of commercial banks, but the results of the empirical analyses of the non-interest income share present significant, i.e., there is a mediating effect. Finally, the heterogeneity analysis shows that the liquidity of urban commercial banks and joint-stock banks is more sensitive to the development of fintech, meanwhile, the liquidity of commercial banks in the southern region is more susceptible to the development of fintech. The article concludes with some recommendations to the Chinese government and relevant commercial banks regarding the promotion of FinTech development.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Albertyn, N. (2020). No branch? No problem. Technology brings banking to rural businesses. [online] Finastra. Available at: https://www.finastra.com/viewpoints/articles/no-branch-no-problem-technology-brings-banking-rural-businesses.

Aleksandra Žuk-Butkuvienė, Dalia Vaitulevičienė and Julija Staroselskaja (2014) “Capital Adequacy (solvency) and Liquidity Risk Management: Analysis, Evaluation, and Possibilities for Improvement,” 93(2). doi: 10.15388/Ekon.2014.2.3546.

Almazari, A. A. K., & Siam, A. Z. (2008). E-Banking: An empirical study on the Jordanian commercial banks. Economics and Administration, 22(2).

Arif, A. and Nauman Anees, A. (2012), "Liquidity risk and performance of banking system", Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Vol. 20 No. 2, pp. 182-195. https://doi.org/10.1108/13581981211218342

Askitas, N., & Zimmermann, K.F. (2009). Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting. Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, 55(2), 107-120.

Ba, S. (2021). Financial structure improvement and real economy growth in the context of fintech. [online] www.aisixiang.com. Available at: https://www.aisixiang.com/data/124417.html [Accessed 9 Sep. 2023].

Becker, M., & Collins, M. (1999). "Financial Crisis and Structural Changes in British Commercial Bank Assets from 1860 to 1913." Economic History Exploration, 36(4). doi: 10.1006/exeh.1999.0727.

Berger, A. N., & Bouwman, C. (2017). Bank liquidity creation, monetary policy, and financial crises. Journal of Financial Stability, 30, 139-155.

Buchak, G., Matvos, G., Piskorski, T., et al. (2018). Fintech, regulatory arbitrage, and the rise of shadow banks. Journal of Financial Economics, 130(3), 453-483.

Bunea, S., Kogan, B., & Stolin, D. (2016). Banks vs fintech: At last, it’s official. Journal of Financial Transformation, 44, 122-131

CFI Team (2020). Net Interest Margin. [online] Corporate Finance Institute. Available at: https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/accounting/net-interest-margin/.

Cheng, M., & Qu, Y. (2020). Does bank FinTech reduce credit risk? Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 63, 101398

China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission General Office (2022). Notice of the General Office of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission on Further improving financial services for enterprises in difficult industries affected by the epidemic. [online] www.gov.cn. Available at: https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/2022-06/03/content_5693848.htm [Accessed 25 Aug. 2023].

China Business Network (2023). 2023 New first-tier city list official announcement: Kunming returned, Qingdao rose, northern cities accounted for only four seats. [online] news.cctv.com. Available at: https://news.cctv.com/2023/05/30/ARTI5kyAHUzgByGH08lUpEQ4230530.shtml [Accessed 6 Aug. 2023].

Diamond, D. W., & Dybvig, P. H. (1983). Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy, 91(3), 401-419.

FSB. (2016). "Describing the Landscape and a Framework for Analysis." 23-51

Gai, K., Qiu, M. and Sun, X. (2018). A survey on FinTech. Journal of Network and Computer Applications, 103(1), pp.262–273. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnca.2017.10.011.

Galletta, S. and Mazzù, S. (2019). Liquidity Risk Drivers and Bank Business Models. Risks, 7(3), p.89. doi:https://doi.org/10.3390/risks7030089.

Gottschalk, P., & Dean, G. (2009). A review of organised crime in electronic finance. International Journal of Electronic Finance, 3(1), 46

Gu, H. F., & Zhang, Y. N. (2018). Financial innovation, credit environment and bank risk-taking-evidence from China's banking industry from 2006 to 2016. International Finance Research, 377(09), 68–77

Gu, H., & Bian, Y. (2020). Cross-Border Capital Flows, Asset Prices, and Bank Liquidity Risk: The Moderating Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Banking Competition. Financial Science, 393(12), 13-27

Guo, F., Wang, J. Y., Wang, F., Kong, T., Zhang, X., & Cheng, Z. Y. 2020, "Measuring the Development of Digital Inclusive Finance in China: Index Construction and Spatial Characteristics," Economic Quarterly, vol. 19, no. 4

Guo, Q., (2019). China Merchants Bank App8.0 Releases Open Ecology toCreate New Wealth Life. Tech Web. http://www.techweb.com.cn/it/2019-11-18/2764590.shtm

Gupta, P. and Tham, T. M. (2018) Fintech : the new dna of financial services. Boston: De Press, 2018. doi: 10.1515/9781547400904.

Gupta, P.T., Mandy, T., (2018). Fintech: the new DNA of financial services. J. Serv Mark.20 (2), 125–135.

He, J. (2017). Fintech: Development, Impacts, and Regulation. Financial Development Research, 6, 54-56

Huong Vuong, G.T., Thanh Phan, P.T., Nguyen, C.X., Nguyen, D.M. and Duong, K.D. (2023). Liquidity creation and bank risk-taking: Evidence from a transition market. Heliyon, [online] p.e19141. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19141.

Institute of Digital Finance Peking University (2020). Center for Digital Finance Research, Peking University. [online] idf.pku.edu.cn. Available at: https://idf.pku.edu.cn/zxgk/zxgkn/index.htm [Accessed 9 Sep. 2023].

Jakˇsiˇc, M., Marinˇc, M., (2019). Relationship banking and information technology: the role of artificial intelligence and FinTech. Risk Manage. 21, 1-18.

Joan, M. (2014). Opportunities and Challenges Facing Foreigners in Online Shopping in China: A Case of Foreign Students Shopping in Taobao [Doctoral dissertation]. Wuhan: Central China Normal University

Joshua D. Coval, Anjan V. Thakor. (2005).Financial intermediation as a beliefs-bridge between optimists and pessimists[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 75(3):535-569

Kaushik, A.K., Kaushik, A.K., Mohan, G., Kumar, V., (2020). Examining the antecedents and consequences of customers’ trust toward mobile retail apps in India.J. Internet Commerce 19 (1), 1–31

King, R.G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 717-737

KPMG China (2020). How do commercial banks respond to the epidemic. [online] KPMG. Available at: https://kpmg.com/cn/zh/home/insights/2020/05/how-commercial-banks-respond-to-epidemic.html [Accessed 25 Aug. 2023].

Kumar, A. (2021). Fixed vs Random vs Mixed Effects Models – Examples. [online] Data Analytics. Available at: https://vitalflux.com/fixed-vs-random-vs-mixed-effects-models-examples/.

Lee, I., & Shin, Y.J. (2018). "Fintech: Ecosystem, business models, investment decisions, and challenges." Business Horizons, 61(1), 35-46

Lei A C H , Song Z . (2013).Liquidity creation and bank capital structure in China[J]. Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money, 24(3):188-202.

Leong, K., & Sung, A. (2018). "FinTech (Financial Technology): What Is It and How To Use Technologies to Create Business Value in Fintech Way?" International Journal of Innovation, Management and technology 2018.

Levine, R. (1997). Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda. Journal of Economic Literature, 35(2), pp.688–726.

Li, S., & Hou, X. (2020). Liquidity Risk, Credit Risk, and Commercial Bank Liquidity Creation. Economic Geography, 37(04), 168-176.

Liu, M. (2020). The Impact of Internet Finance on Commercial Banks' Profit Efficiency: An Empirical Study Based on SFA Method. Dalian University of Technology Journal (Social Sciences Edition), 1-15

Liu, M. (2021). Fintech and Systemic Risk in Commercial Banks: An Empirical Study Based on Listed Banks in China. Journal of Wuhan University (Philosophy & Social Sciences), 74(02), 119-134.

Merton, R. C., & Bodie, Z. (1995). A Conceptual Framework for Analyzing the Financial Environment. Cambridge: Harvard Business School Press.

Narsalay R. (2016).Thriving with Fintechs: Strategies for Large Indian Banks[J]. Vinimaya, 37(1): 5-15

National Bureau of Statistics (2022). National Bureau of Statistics. [online] Stats.gov.cn. Available at: http://www.stats.gov.cn/.

Nicoletti, B. (2017). The Future of FinTech. Cham: Springer International Publishing. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51415-4.

Odawa, C.A., (2016). Technology Enabled Banking Self Services And Performance Of Commercial Banks Listed In The Nairobi Securities Exchange (Doctoral dissertation,University of Nairobi).

PARENTI, R. (2020). Regulatory Sandboxes and Innovation Hubs for FinTech Impact on innovation, financial stability and supervisory convergence. [online] Available at: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2020/652752/IPOL_STU(2020)652752_EN.pdf.

Peking University Digital Finance Research Center (2021). Peking University Digital Financial Inclusion Index (2011-2020). [online] www.idf.pku.edu.cn. Available at: https://www.idf.pku.edu.cn/yjcg/zsbg/513800.htm.

Phan, D.H.B., Narayan, P.K., Rahman, R.E., & Hutabarat, A.R. (2020). "Do Financial Technology Firms Influence Bank Performance?" Pacific-Basin Finance Journal

PricewaterhouseCoopers (2022). China Banker Survey Report (2022) Condensed edition. [online] PwC. Available at: https://www.pwccn.com/zh/industries/financial-services/banking-and-capital-markets/publications/survey-chinese-bankers-2022.html [Accessed 24 Aug. 2023].

PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC). (2015). States of Guernsey A strategic vision for FinTech. [online] Available at: http://www.gov.gg/CHttpHandler.ashx?id=96797&p=0 [Accessed 10 Jul. 2023].

Puschmann, T. (2017). Fintech. Business & Information Systems Engineering, [online] 59(1), pp.69–76. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12599-017-0464-6.

PwC (2017). Customers in the spotlight: How FinTech is reshaping banking. [online] PwC. Available at: https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/industries/financial-services/publications/fintech-is-reshaping-banking.html.

Qi, W., Liu, S. and Liu, Z. (2022). The novel pattern and driving factors of population spatial distribution on both sides of the ‘Hu Line’ based on seventh census in China - CNKI. [online] kns.cnki.net. Available at: https://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/detail.aspx?FileName=DLXB202212006&DbName=DKFX2022 [Accessed 8 Aug. 2023].

Research Group of Peking University Internet Finance Research Center. (2015). "Internet Finance Development Index of Peking University [EB/OL]." Retrieved December 20, 2015, from http://iif.pku.edu.cn

Romānova, I., & Kudinska, M. (2016). Banking and Fintech: A challenge or opportunity? In Contemporary issues in finance: Current challenges from across Europe . Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Schueffel, P. (2017). Taming the beast: a scientific definition of fintech. Journal of Innovation Management, 4(4), 32

Schumaker, R. P., & Chen, H. (2009). Textual analysis of stock market prediction using breaking financial news: the AZFinText system. ACM Transactions on Information Systems (TOIS), 27(2), 1-19

Shen, Y., & Guo, P. (2015). Internet Finance, Technology Spillover, and Total Factor Productivity of Commercial Banks. Financial Research, (03), 160-175.

Shen, Y., & Guo, P. (2015). Internet Finance, Technology Spillover, and Total Factor Productivity of Commercial Banks. Financial Research, (03), 160-175.

Soprano, A. (2015) Liquidity management : a funding risk handbook. Hoboken: Wiley.

Srivastav, A.K. (2020). Non-Interest Income of Banks (Definition) | Examples and List. [online] WallStreetMojo. Available at: https://www.wallstreetmojo.com/non-interest-income/.

Stoica, O., Mehdian, S., & Sargu, A. (2015). The impact of Internet banking on the performance of Romanian banks: DEA and PCA approach. Procedia Economics and Finance, 20, 610-622

Sun, Q., & Ren, Y. (2021). Reflections on the Strategic Models of Commercial Banks in the Fintech Era. Modern Marketing (Management Edition), (01), 102-103

Tai, L. (2020). Burst! Alipay removed this kind of deposit service, what happened? Ant Group responds. [online] news.stcn.com. Available at: https://news.stcn.com/sd/202012/t20201218_2641223.html [Accessed 9 Sep. 2023].

Temelkov, Z. (2018). Fintech firms: Opportunity or threat for banks? International Journal of Information, Business and Management, 10(1), 137-143

Thakor, A. V. (2014) Incentives to innovate and financial crises. SSRN. doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1786855.

The State Council (2019). The State Council of the People’s Republic of China. [online] Www.gov.cn. Available at: http://english.www.gov.cn/.

The University of Bath (2021). How fintech is changing the future of traditional banking. [online] The University of Bath. Available at: https://online.bath.ac.uk/articles/impact-of-fintech-on-banking.

Tian, J., & Liu, X. (2019). Social Network Attention in Fintech: Theoretical Model and Empirical Analysis. Financial Forum, 24(1), 67-80.

Tian, J., & Liu, X. (2019). Social Network Attention of Fintech: Theoretical Model and Empirical Analysis. Financial Forum, 24(1), 67-80.

Wan, M. (2021). The end of the Internet cannot be lending, the central bank and other financial authorities interviewed 13 online platforms. [online] www.eeo.com.cn. Available at: http://www.eeo.com.cn/2021/0430/486702.shtml [Accessed 24 Aug. 2023].

Wang, J. (2020). The Impact of Financial Technology on the Profitability of Commercial Banks' Retail Business. Hubei Social Sciences, 406(10), 81-88

www.ceicdata.com. (2023). China Reverse Repurchase Rate: Central Bank: 7 Day . [online] Available at: https://www.ceicdata.com/zh-hans/china/open-market-operation-daily/cn-reverse-repurchase-rate-central-bank-7-day [Accessed 9 Sep. 2023].

Xinmeng Fan (2020). Notice on Further Strengthening Financial Support for prevention and control of the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic. [online] www.gov.cn. Available at: https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/2020-02/01/content_5473639.htm [Accessed 25 Aug. 2023].

Yang, M., & Wu, S. (2020). Technological Innovation and Banking Industry Development: Evolutionary Process and Prospects. Xinjinrong , 383(12), 33-37

Zero One Finance and Central China New Financial Research Institute. (2017). "Global Financial Technology Investment and Financing Index Report [EB/OL]." Retrieved January 21, 2017, from http://www.01caijing.com/article/13550.htm.

Zhang, Z., Yin, Z., Gao, S., et al. 2021, "Analysis of Factors Affecting the Estimation Accuracy of Different Industries' GDP Based on Nighttime Light Remote Sensing Data: A Case Study of 16 Coastal Cities in China," Remote Sensing Information, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 28-37

Downloads

Published

05-03-2024

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Wang, Y. (2024). Research on the Impact of Fintech on Liquidity Risk of Chinese Commercial Banks. Frontiers in Business, Economics and Management, 13(3), 282-300. https://doi.org/10.54097/24wmaj12