The Limitations of the Efficient Market Hypothesis

Authors

  • Xie Lin

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/hbem.v20i.12311

Keywords:

Efficient Market Hypothesis, Momentum, Reversal, Insider Trading, Institutional Investors.

Abstract

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) has long been a fundamental theory in finance, asserting that financial markets are efficient and that asset prices reflect all available information. However, empirical evidence suggests limitations in three critical aspects. Firstly, momentum and reversal phenomena challenge the EMH, indicating the existence of persistent price trends and patterns that deviate from immediate information incorporation. Secondly, the presence of inside information and insider trading undermines the assumption of equal access to information, revealing information asymmetry and compromising market efficiency. Lastly, the influence of financial institutions, with their market power and associated complexities, introduces further challenges to the EMH. Agency issues, herding behavior, and short-termism among financial institutions can compromise market efficiency. Acknowledging these limitations is crucial for market participants as it allows for a refined understanding of market dynamics and informs the development of more comprehensive theories that better capture the complexities of real-world financial markets.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Fama, E. F. Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 1970, 25(2): 383–417.

Malkiel, B. G. Reflections on the efficient market hypothesis: 30 years later. The Financial Review, 2005, 40(1): 1–9.

Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. Journal of Finance, 1993, 48(1): 65–91.

Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations. The Journal of Finance, 2001, 56(2): 699–720.

De Bondt, W. F. M., & Thaler, R. H. Does the stock market overreact? Journal of Finance, 1985, 40(3): 793–805.

Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. Mean reversion in stock prices: evidence and implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 1987, 22(1): 27-59.

Jaffe, J. F. Special information and insider trading. The Journal of Business, 1974, 47(3): 410-428.

Seyhun, H. N. Insiders’ profits, costs of trading, and market efficiency. Journal of Financial Economics, 1986, 16(2): 189–212.

Wermers, R. Mutual Fund Herding and the Impact on Stock Prices. The Journal of Finance, 1999, 54(2): 581–622.

Nofsinger, J. R., & Sias, R. W. Herding and Feedback Trading by Institutional and Individual Investors. The Journal of Finance, 1999, 54(6): 2263–2295.

Downloads

Published

30-11-2023

How to Cite

Lin, X. (2023). The Limitations of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Highlights in Business, Economics and Management, 20, 37-41. https://doi.org/10.54097/hbem.v20i.12311