Price Prediction of TSLA, BYD and NIO Based on ARIMA Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54097/hbem.v7i.6826Keywords:
Time Series Analysis, Stock Price Prediction, New Energy Vehicles.Abstract
New energy vehicles are the development direction of the future automobile industry, and various countries are actively deploying new energy vehicle enterprises. Predicting the stock prices of the top three new energy vehicle companies in the market has the high reference value for stock investors. On this basis, this paper uses the ARIMA model to forecast stock prices for the next four trading days of the top three companies, i.e., TSLA, BYD and NIO. The stock prices of the three companies in the first three quarters of 2022 will be used to build suitable models. According to the analysis, the ARIMA model succeeded in predicting stock prices with high accuracy in the short term, but the accuracy decreases over time. In this case, the stock price prediction results of the ARIMA model can provide a reference for stock investors in the short term, but cannot predict the future trend of stocks price. Overall, these results shed light on guiding further exploration of stock price forecasting based on ARIMA model.
Downloads
References
Wang Huifang, Shi Shuling. Research on the enlightenment of foreign new energy vehicle policies on the development of China's automobile industry [J]. Inner Mongolia Science and Technology and Economy, 202, 24: 9-10.
Yuan Bo. Development of China's new energy vehicle industry under the goal of carbon neutrality [J]. Management Engineer, 2022, 27(05): 5-10.
Liu Xueping. Research on stock price prediction of new energy automobile industry based on LSTM model. Chongqing University, 2021.
Kumar M, Thenmozhi M. Forecasting stock index returns using ARIMA-SVM, ARIMA-ANN, and ARIMA-random forest hybrid models [J]. International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, 2014, 5(3): 284-308.
Mondal P, Shit L, Goswami S. Study of effectiveness of time series modeling (ARIMA) in forecasting stock prices [J]. International Journal of Computer Science, Engineering and Applications, 2014, 4(2): 13.
Afeef M, Ihsan A, Zada H. Forecasting stock prices through univariate ARIMA modeling [J]. NUML International Journal of Business & Management, 2018, 13(2): 130-143.
Adebiyi A A, Adewumi A O, Ayo C K. Comparison of ARIMA and artificial neural networks models for stock price prediction [J]. Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2014, 2014.
Chen Dengjian, Du Feixia, Xia Xian. Stock prediction based on ARIMA and SVR rolling residual model combination [J]. Computer Age, 2022, 5: 76-81.
Xiong Zheng, Chi Wengang. Application of ARIMA-GARCH-M model in short-term stock forecasting [J]. Journal of Shaanxi University of Technology (Natural Science Edition), 2022, 38(04): 69-74.
Huang Shimin. Stock price analysis and prediction based on ARIMA model: Taking China Merchants Bank as an example [J]. SME Management and Technology, 2022, 11: 184-187.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.






