Heterogeneity Analysis of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Corporate Investment Based on Panel Threshold Regression
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54097/45dmmj79Keywords:
Economic Policy Uncertainty, Corporate Investment, Panel Threshold RegressionAbstract
As the global landscape evolves rapidly, economic policies must constantly adapt to the volatile economic situation, leading to economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Firms, as microeconomic entities, need to continuously adjust their strategies in response to these changes. Given that corporate investment is one of the most crucial factors in business operations, it is of paramount importance to investigate how the characteristics of corporate investment are influenced by EPU. Using the panel threshold regression method, we delve into the nonlinear impact of EPU on corporate investment. By collecting data from 2000 to 2023 for A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen, as well as macroeconomic data, we empirically find that EPU exerts significant and differentiated effects on corporate investment across four dimensions: leverage level, company size, profitability, and growth potential.
Downloads
References
[1] Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The quarterly journal of economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
[2] Pástor, Ľ., & Veronesi, P. (2013). Political uncertainty and risk premia. Journal of financial Economics, 110(3), 520-545.
[3] Alexopoulos, M., & Cohen, J. (2015). The power of print: Uncertainty shocks, markets, and the economy. International Review of Economics & Finance, 40, 8-28.
[4] Tillman, P. (2016). Uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy and its transmission to emerging economies: Evidence from Twitter.
[5] Osnago, A., Piermartini, R., & Rocha, N. (2015). Trade policy uncertainty as barrier to trade (No. ERSD-2015-05). WTO Staff Working Paper.
[6] Alberto, O., Roberta, P., & Nadia, R. (2015). Trade policy uncertainty as barrier to trade. World Trade Organization Working Paper, No. 5.
[7] Mumtaz, H., & Surico, P. (2018). Policy uncertainty and aggregate fluctuations. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 33(3), 319-331.
[8] Arellano, C., Bai, Y., & Kehoe, P. J. (2019). Financial frictions and fluctuations in volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 127(5), 2049-2103.
[9] Gulen, H., & Ion, M. (2016). Policy uncertainty and corporate investment. The Review of financial studies, 29(3), 523-564.
[10] Liu, G., & Zhang, C. (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and firms' investment and financing decisions in China. China Economic Review, 63, 101279.
[11] Jing, Z., Lu, S., Zhao, Y., & Zhou, J. (2023). Economic policy uncertainty, corporate investment decisions and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China. Accounting & Finance, 63, 1477-1502.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.







