Bridging the Lunar Lifeline: A Multi-Modal Resilience and Optimization Framework for Large-Scale Interplanetary Logistics

Abstract

Building a lunar colony for 100,000 inhabitants, transporting almost 100 million metric tons of infrastructure in the past, would bring logistical and engineering challenges that had never been encountered before. This paper makes a multi-modal optimization framework, which integrates the two modes of transportation of the space elevator system SES and conventional rockets. This model uses hybrid integer linear programming MILP, stochastic perturbation analysis, and Monte-Carlo simulation to calculate the optimal resource allocation scheme under the three constraints of cost, duration, and elasticity. Logistics of various life support resources, including water management, we use a phased delivery schedule and a strategic safety reserve. The strata black carbon radiative forcing model, we use it directly to do environmental impact assessment work. The hybrid SES-rocket transportation strategy can compress the entire construction period to 139.5 years, maintaining a stable supply capacity even in the case of system failure, and significantly reducing the total amount of carbon emissions. The main work of this paper is several aspects, the first is a multi-scenario transportation optimization design for lunar logistics, the second is a random modeling method for non-ideal operations, the third is the life support planning and ISRU integration scheme, the fourth is the complete environmental impact analysis content.