Survey of Wind Power Output Power Forecasting Technology

Authors

  • Yibing Zou

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54097/hset.v50i.8490

Keywords:

Wind power, non-linearity, power system, artificial intelligence model

Abstract

Because of the randomness of wind energy and the non-linearity of power system, there are many dubious variables that should be noticed when forecasting the output power of the wind power. Physical method is often used in the medium-term forecasting, as its model does not require the historical data of the wind farm. The statistical method is simple and requires a small amount of data. It can be applied in those situations where data acquisition is difficult. The artificial intelligence model is suitable in the random or non — linear system as it does not rely on the accurate mode of the objective. The combined forecasting model maximizes favorable factors and minimizes unfavorable ones as contained in above-mentioned methods. This article gives out a brief summary and proposes some improvement measures against the main existing problems in prediction field.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Zhao, X., Wang, S., Li, T. (2011). Review of Evaluation Criteria and Main Methods of Wind Power Forecasting. Energy Procedia, 12: 761–769.

Feng, S.L., Wang, W.S., Liu, C., Dai, H.Z. (2010). Study on the Physical Approach to Wind Power Prediction. Proceedings of the CSEE, (02):1–6.

Croonenbroeck, C., Dahl, C. M. (2014). Accurate medium-term wind power forecasting in a censored classification framework. Energy, 73: 221–232.

Bossanyi, E.A. (1985). Short-Term Wind Prediction Using Kalman Filters. Wind Engineering, 9 (1): 1–8.

Han, J. (2013). Review on Prediction Method of Wind Power. China Electric Power (Technology Edition), (01): 43–46.

Huang, J.H., Peng, H. (2009). Study of Wind Power Short-Term Prediction of Wind Farm Based on Neural Network. Electrotechnics Electric, (09): 57–60.

Qi, S.B., Wang, W.Q., Zhang, X.Y. (2009). Wind Speed and Wind Power Prediction Based on SVM. East China Electric Power, 37(09): 1600–1603.

Tascikaraoglu, A., Uzunoglu, M. (2014). A review of combined approaches for prediction of short-term wind speed and power. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 34: 243–254.

Chang, G.W., Lu, H.J., Wang, P.K., Chang, Y.R., Lee, Y.D. (2017). Gaussian mixture model-based neural network for short-term wind power forecast. International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems, 27(6), e2320.

Zhou, B., Liu, C., Li, J., Sun, B., Yang, J., Arpino, F. (2020). A Hybrid Method for Ultrashort-Term Wind Power Prediction considering Meteorological Features and Seasonal Information. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 1–12.

Yuan, X., Chen, C., Yuan, Y., Huang, Y., Tan, Q. (2015). Short-term wind power prediction based on LSSVM–GSA model. Energy Conversion and Management, 101: 393–401.

Li, L., Cen, Z.Y., Tseng, M.L., Shen, Q., Ali, M.H. (2020). Improving short-term wind power prediction using hybrid improved cuckoo search arithmetic - support vector regression machine. Journal of Cleaner Production, 123739.

Zhang, Y., Wang, J., Wang, X. (2014). Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 32: 255–270.

Shi, K.F. (2020). Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Combined Model. Yanshan University.

Mao, Y., Wang, S.S. (2016). A review of wind power forecasting & prediction. In: 2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS). Beijing. pp. 1–7.

Downloads

Published

21-05-2023

How to Cite

Zou, Y. (2023). Survey of Wind Power Output Power Forecasting Technology. Highlights in Science, Engineering and Technology, 50, 124-130. https://doi.org/10.54097/hset.v50i.8490